Beyond Missiles and Marines: A Multidomain Strategy for Deterring a PRC Invasion of Taiwan

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.34190/eccws.25.1.4721

Keywords:

Unrestricted Warfare, Gray Zone Conflict, Taiwan Deterrence Strategy, Marine Corps Force Design 2030, Multidomain Deterrence and Distributed Operations, Cognitive and Information Warfare, Non-Kinetic Deterrence

Abstract

The People’s Republic of China (PRC) poses a critical challenge to regional stability and U.S. security interests, advancing a strategy of Unrestricted Warfare that outpaces traditional battlefield engagements. A Taiwan crisis may unfold through cyberattacks, economic coercion, and disinformation designed to fracture alliances and erode public trust long before the first missiles are launched. If U.S. deterrence remains narrowly focused on kinetic superiority, it risks failing to leverage an Inverse Unrestricted Warfare Framework which—combined with U.S. Marine Corps Force Design 2030 (commonly referred to as “Force Design”)—offers a multidomain approach that mirrors and counters the PRC’s own tactics. This paper proposes a multidomain strategy to deter a PRC invasion of Taiwan through a cohesive framework that applies the logic of Unrestricted Warfare against the PRC itself. The framework consists of five mutually reinforcing lines of effort: Military Denial Through Distributed Operations; Non-Kinetic Domain Deterrence; Cognitive and Informational Maneuver; Asymmetric Disruption and Escalation Options; and an Integrative Principle of Preemptive and Parallel Shaping. Beyond kinetic means, the framework emphasizes cyber resilience, legal warfare, and economic pressure as critical tools for shaping the pre-invasion battlespace. The result is a layered deterrence strategy that combines denial, cost imposition, and delegitimization, leveraging the PRC’s own tactics against it to impose strategic costs. An Inverse Unrestricted Warfare framework integrates military innovation with non-kinetic resilience, ensuring Force Design enables deterrence that is credible, adaptive, and global—preventing conflict before it begins and safeguarding Taiwan’s future.

Author Biographies

Timothy Shives

Dr. Timothy Shives is a Professor of Practice in the Information Sciences Department at the Naval Postgraduate School (NPS), Monterey, California, where he teaches and advises in cyber operations, information warfare, and cyber mission planning. He holds doctoral and master’s degrees in education, information technology management, business administration, and national security studies. He also serves as a Lieutenant Colonel in the U.S. Marine Corps Reserve and has held multiple DoD cyber and IT leadership roles. His research focuses on information warfare, cyber operations, cyber strategy and policy military decision-making, and military command and control.

Rose Kingham, Naval Postgraduate School

Captain Kingham is a Marine Corps Infantry Officer assigned to NPS, pursuing graduate studies in Information Sciences and Information Warfare Systems Engineering. She commissioned in January 2021 after earning a B.S. in Biochemistry from Metropolitan State University of Denver and promoted to Captain in 2025. Her academic interests include cyberspace operations and information warfare.

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Published

2026-06-15