Regional Technology Foresight for Material Technologies

Abstract

The Silesian Voivodeship is undergoing rapid technological transformation and industrial restructuring. This necessitates a systematic, evidence-based approach to identifying priority technologies that will drive regional development by 2050. The purpose of this article is to present the key results from the initial diagnostic phase of the technology foresight project conducted in the Silesian Voivodeship, focusing on the material production and processing sector. The research employs a multi-method approach, PESTEL analysis, integrating Porter's Diamond Model, the emerald model and SWOT analysis, supported by desk research, expert consultations and focus group discussions to assess technological potential and strategic priorities. The study identifies three critical technology groups: metallic, polymeric, and ceramic materials, as key enablers of industrial innovation. These technologies are of particular importance in several strategic sectors, including but not limited to the automotive, aerospace, chemical, steel, pharmaceutical, renewable energy and advanced manufacturing industries. The detailed analyses were summarized in a synthetic technology assessment using four key criteria: effectiveness of technology, market age, scope of application, and impact on the technology landscape. The results indicate that global trends are increasingly shaping the world within the BANI (Brittle, Anxious, Nonlinear, Incomprehensible) framework. These trends highlight several critical challenges for future scenarios, including the green revolution, achieving climate neutrality, reducing energy and material consumption, advancing automation and digitization, and localizing supply chains while better understanding global markets. The Silesian Voivodeship's robust industrial foundation, cutting-edge research infrastructure, and a highly skilled workforce provide a solid foundation for technological innovation and commercialisation, thereby ensuring sustained economic growth. The analysis emphasises the importance of strategic investments in high-performance materials, additive manufacturing, smart materials, green technologies and advanced recycling solutions. Furthermore, the promotion of collaboration between industry, academia, and local authorities is imperative for the acceleration of technology transfer, R&D commercialisation, and the development of regional innovation ecosystems. Furthermore, the enhancement of interdisciplinary synergies and knowledge-sharing platforms will promote the adoption of emerging technologies. To guarantee a sustainable and competitive position in the global market, the Silesian Voivodeship must develop a long-term innovation strategy that integrates technological foresight with industrial policy frameworks.